It therefore comes as no surprise that the current UK position is totally opposed to co-primary allocation of the DTT spectrum. However, we can expect continuing strong international pressure for change not only from the mobile sector, but also from many territories, especially among the developing economies, with limited wired infrastructures. Nor can we expect such strong resistance to change from territories with much lower penetration of DTT reception (e.g. German-speaking, Benelux and Nordic countries in Europe)The DCMS Green Paper on Charter Renewal does not mention the DTT spectrum, but the question of its future is never far away, in particular where it refers to the recent explosion of choice and poses questions about universality.
The former 470-862 MHz band reserved for broadcast TV will already have shrunk to 470-694 MHz by 2022 following intense international pressure from the mobile sector. Absent a strong defence case, we cannot rule out total clearance from the mid-twenties.
As things stand, replacement of the DTT spectrum by the internet will have devastating consequences for the entire TV broadcast ecosystem. Most importantly, examination of viewing trends leads us to conclude that the UK public will not be ready for at least another 20 years.