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  • February 9, 2018

    Tencent: gaming giant heads west

    Tencent, by some counts the world’s most valuable media and entertainment company but still relatively unknown outside Asia, is riding games growth to global clout. The company offers a blueprint for successfully integrating media and entertainment companies, saving on overheads while retaining key talent and organisational culture . Tencent’s recent investments in Snap and Spotify suggest media platform ambitions beyond games in the West, but close ties to the Chinese  government could complicate regulatory approval for strategic acquisitions.
  • February 8, 2018

    Unlicensed Spectrum – a wireless pathway for OTT disruption?

    For many decades, wireless services using licensed spectrum have been the backbone of our communication networks.However, with rapid improvements in technology, communication networks using unlicensed spectrum could witness an explosion in usage and utility that could rival the licensed experience and even the NBN.
  • February 5, 2018

    CMA issues provisional findings in Fox-Sky

    The Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) has provisionally found that Fox’s acquisition of Sky is against the public interest on media plurality grounds, although it could proceed with an appropriate remedy. The CMA found the merger would give the Murdoch Family Trust (MFT) and family members “too much influence over public opinion and the political agenda”. The CMA now enters the challenging remedies phase. Fox could offer an Editorial Board for Sky News pending finalisation of Disney-Fox (by 2019). Third parties seem likely to continue to seek to prohibit the merger
  • February 5, 2018

    Venture Advisory Monthly Wrap – December / January 2018

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    Venture Advisory provides a review of leading Australasian telco, media and technology companies on a monthly basis. This review considers amongst other things share price performers ( best and worst performers during the month), company news flow and ASX release updates and respective valuation trading multiples. The report is designed for busy executives and investment professionals that want to get a flash update and stay on top of key news flow.  If you wish to find out more or have an deeper enquiry please feel free to contact Nigel Pugh or Sarah Houghton.
    $900.00
  • February 5, 2018

    Chinese online media platforms

    Baidu, Alibaba, and Tencent (BAT) have built their leading market positions in Chinese online media on the back of the mobile revolution and an absence of foreign rivals. The big three’s rivalry in online advertising reflects a broader struggle over key gatekeeper roles in the Chinese online economy, albeit one shaped by state intervention. While benefiting from protectionism at home, BAT are weak in most foreign markets and links to the Chinese state may hamper international expansion, particularly in the US
  • February 2, 2018

    The Wireless Threat to Fixed Broadband Services

    Based on Venture Insights' latest consumer survey, 30% of fixed broadband households are at risk of switching to wireless. These households exhibit a growing acceptance of wireless services and some doubts about NBN service quality.
  • TV platform forecasts to 2026: DTT and pay-lite set to grow
    TV platform forecasts to 2026: DTT and pay-lite set to grow
    February 1, 2018

    Serie A’s 2018-21 auction morphs into telenovela

    The Italian league, unhappy with broadcasters’ bids of €830m, are now holding talks with Spain’s Mediapro, who has offered €950m and would produce a channel to wholesale to all platforms. Mediapro’s bid faces challenging economics given the low potential for an OTT strategy and Sky’s exclusive possession of a sufficiently monetisable subscriber base. Ultimately, we expect Sky to continue its full coverage and to increase its outlay only if it gains more exclusive fixtures
  • January 24, 2018

    Top Australian Telco trends to watch in 2018

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    The Australian Telco market has seen significant transformation in the past two decades as both mobile and fixed broadband technologies have evolved. However, sustained, long-term growth in the sector relies on continued transformation; with Telcos investing in new technologies and seeking new revenue streams.
    $900.00
  • January 23, 2018

    Wind Farms – Adding wind to Australia’s energy sails

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    Wind energy already accounts for 30 percent of renewable generation and over 5 percent of total electricity generation in Australia. Falling development and generation costs will drive the growth of wind as an energy source into the future.
    $450.00
  • January 16, 2018

    Stitch Fix IPO: profits are back in style

    Subscription fashion retailer Stitch Fix has gone public, revealing a rare example of a new, private, technology-based company capable of making a profit. Stitch Fix relies on the ‘mixed intelligence’ of algorithms and human stylists to offer its customers a curated fashion “Fix” of clothing and accessories, aiming to cut through some of the chaos of ecommerce. Though Stitch Fix’s success is not guaranteed, there is much to be learned from its approach of focusing on building a solid business and generating positive earnings early, rather than growing users at any cost
  • January 16, 2018

    Amazon Advertising: Sleeping Giant

    With all eyes on Amazon’s retail business, its online advertising business is growing exponentially with less scrutiny.
  • January 12, 2018

    Universal Service Obligation – past its sell-by date

    The Universal Service Obligation (USO) is based on the principles of the analogue era of the Australian Telco market. However, in the current era of widespread mobile usage and increasing penetration of high-speed broadband connections, it is becoming increasingly irrelevant.
  • TV platform forecasts to 2026: DTT and pay-lite set to grow
    TV platform forecasts to 2026: DTT and pay-lite set to grow
    January 11, 2018

    Italy’s Serie A desperately fighting football rights deflation

    Results of the league’s new call for tender for its 2018-21 broadcasting rights will be unveiled on 22 January. The platform-based packaging was reviewed after last year’s aborted auction, apparently to accommodate loss-making Mediaset Premium, the participation of which remains nevertheless uncertain. Sky could keep its current satellite and internet coverage without increasing its outlay. We expect no major Telecom Italia (TI) or GAFA bid. Serie A seeks an unrealistic €1.05 billion per year (up 24%). If the auction results fall short, it hopes to sell rights to financial investors or, in a last resort, to launch its own channel – both ideas smacking of recklessness
  • January 10, 2018

    Premier League auction developments: more is less

    BT and Sky’s content cross-wholesaling deal much reduces their risks of losing packages in the upcoming Premier League auction, with most of the strategic platform value of exclusive sports rights now wiped out. The PL auction structure offers more games but less value, with the two smaller packages particularly unattractive, which cleverly nudges BT to retain a more expensive package, and thus most of its spending, if it wishes to downsize. While demand from all potential rights buyers appears weak, paying less money to retain the same position will be challenging for the incumbents Sky and BT given high minimum package prices, with courage necessary to force these minimums to be reassessed
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  • January 9, 2018

    Video on demand insights: Netflix, Amazon and the iPlayer

    Even with the decline in linear television viewing, online video remains a small component of total video consumption. The growth area is unsurprisingly SVOD; subscription video now makes up about two thirds of the UK's digital video spend. Netflix is moving from an aggregator of content to a "channel" in its own right, increasing proportionate spend on original programming, something that the public service broadcasters are unable to do for differing reasons. Amazon had a tough 2017 for video, and are still struggling to create a hit. New Nielsen audience data suggests that the long-term "library value" of Netflix's originals may be overstated, while the BBC's iPlayer continues to be hampered by not really having a library at all.    
  • December 21, 2017

    Auto classified marketplace: Auto Trader steered into stronger p [...]

    Print advertising in the autos classifieds marketplace keeps declining, but significant continued online growth steadies the helm. Five years on from new car financing innovations, and exasperated by changes in consumer behaviour towards greener tech, the used car market is braced for a flood. Auto Trader’s competitors force it to keep innovating, although having saturated the market, its dominance gives it enough headroom to worry about the weather breaking.    
  • December 21, 2017

    Recruitment classified marketplace: Tech giants eye up LinkedIn [...]

    A strong UK labour market, with record low unemployment but historically high vacancies, has supported growth in the recruitment industry, though trends may be peaking as we reach unknown territory. These trends play out in the recruitment market before they become apparent in the labour market.Despite the fragmentation of the online recruitment listings marketplace, Indeed is well-placed to dominate this space due to its increased scale and aggressive investment strategy. Both Google and Facebook have announced their intention to move into the recruitment listings sphere, which may have consequences not only for classified expenditure but further up the value chain with the agency model. However, both giants have attempted to move into online classifieds before, with little demonstrable success.
  • December 21, 2017

    Vertical marketplaces overview and property classified outlook: E [...]

    The slowing UK economy since Q3 2016 has had a knock-on effect on the property and autos marketplaces underlying UK classified advertising revenues, with house prices slowing, transactions stabilising (instead of rising), and new car registrations down sharply in 2017 to date. Recruitment activity by agencies and employers has instead been dynamic as the UK nears full employment. Advertisers in these verticals continue to switch expenditure from print classifieds to internet portals and search, which offer superior lead generation, analytics, and user experience. Only in property do local newspapers still fulfill an important estate agency branding function for the local area, although declining readership is blunting this value to advertisers. Portal dominance comes at a price to advertisers in property, where Rightmove has resisted agent efforts to lessen dependence by listing on other brands, as well as in used autos, where Auto Trader has long reigned supreme. Recruitment is a more contested market for portals, reflecting the diverse and fragmented nature of the jobs market, but Indeed has a strong grip on the low-end, while LinkedIn remains unchallenged in social recruitment advertising
  • December 20, 2017

    Edge Computing – decentralising the cloud but not replacing it

    The rise of edge computing is an extension of a continuing technology cycle that begins with centralised processing and evolves into more distributed architectures. Edge computing will fuel strong IoT ecosystem growth as end devices become more powerful and capable of running sophisticated applications and services.
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  • December 19, 2017

    Australia Out-of-Home Market Outlook

    As other media continue to fragment, out-of-home (OOH) advertising continues to be the fastest growing of the traditional advertising media (TV, radio, print, cinema). The out-of-home market demonstrates steady growth, driven by strong digital growth:Total OOH market grew at a 13.8% CAGR from FY14 to FY17; it will grow at 4.4% CAGR until 2022,Physical OOH fell by 1.1% CAGR from FY14 to FY17; it is expected to fall at 7.9% CAGR until 2022,Digital OOH grew 70.6% CAGR from FY14 to FY17; it will grow at 15.1% CAGR until 2022. In the future, there will likely be ongoing significant capital investment in digital infrastructure, data collection capabilities, sourcing digital content and developing new channels to reach targeted audiences due to the higher yields and better creative opportunities that digital OOH offers. Advertisers will also continue to develop better creative content and deliver more targeted messaging to passers-by as data availability and cross-industry collaboration increases.
  • UK mobile market Q4 2016 – Nearly back to growth
    UK mobile market Q4 2016 – Nearly back to growth
    December 18, 2017

    European mobile in Q3 2017: Still growing (just)

    European mobile service revenue growth declined this quarter to 0.3%, likely due in large part to the increased negative impact from the European roaming surcharge cuts, which we estimate at around 0.5-1.0ppts for Europe as a whole. The continued growth was supported by continued ‘more-for-more’ price increases coupled with strong data volume growth. Partially countering this, there has been a step up in competition at the low end in some markets, often driven by the smaller operators. Looking forward, the negative EU roaming impact is likely to decline from next quarter given the end of the summer holiday season, and on balance we would expect positive price increase trends to overcome negative low end competitive trends, at least in the short term. This might change in 2018, as Iliad launches in Italy, and recently consolidated operators become more of a threat.    
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  • December 18, 2017

    UK online ad forecast 2017-2019: A grey digital market

    We estimate that UK online ad spend grew by 12.3% this year, with growth concentrated almost exclusively in mobile search and social in-feed advertising (particularly video), and mostly incremental to overall ad spend. Even after payments to publishers and distributors, Google and Facebook captured 80% of all net new spend in the market, and 96% of it flowed through their platforms. Despite improving standardisation and disclosure, the outstanding issues around measurement, the ad-tech supply chain, and particularly the obscure and growing Google/Facebook/Amazon segment, lead us to identify a large portion of digital advertising as a “grey market”: difficult to get a handle on, with uncertain beneficiaries and slippery definitions
  • December 14, 2017

    Iliad launching in Italy:Breaking the curse of the fourth operato [...]

    Against the consolidation trend in the European market, France’s Iliad is to launch a fourth mobile network in Italy in the next few weeks, thanks to a roaming and frequency access agreement with Windtre — this deal allowed Wind and Tre to gain regulatory clearance for their merger. The model followed by Iliad’s Free Mobile in France since 2012 cannot be reproduced in Italy, where prices are already low and where it has no established brand reputation. Iliad’s owner Xavier Niel’s experience in oligopolistic Switzerland is of little relevance, and Germany’s Drillisch use of M&A to fill its capacity is not an option in Italy. Nevertheless Iliad has opportunities to seize in Italy where subscriber churn is the highest in Europe, customer service variable, and trust in telecoms brands very low. A credible consumer-friendly value offer could become a real alternative to the three incumbents, although distribution will still be a challenge
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  • December 13, 2017

    New Zealand Telco Market Outlook

    We expect the overall retail telco market to remain flat with strong mobile growth driven by a move to post-paid plans and 4G/5G to offset the structural decline in fixed voice. With UFB deployment nearly complete and increasing 4G penetration, we expect a rise in competitive intensity as players look to capture share across a broader set of product offerings.Fixed voice continues its structural decline as subscribers shun the landline and migrate away from standalone fixed voice services to mobile bundles and broadband + VOIP bundles. The UFB rollout is on track to reach 80% of the population by the end of 2019 and has been recently extended by the Government to cover up to 87% of the population by 2022. The NZ Government recently announced a set of reforms including a move towards utility-style regulation, copper deregulation in areas where UFB is available, and increased oversight over quality and reliability of broadband services