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  • April 8, 2021

    The recovery stutters: UK broadband, telephony and pay TV trends [...]

    • Market revenue growth sunk back to -3% in Q4 from -2% in Q3, with further backbook pricing and lockdown effects to blame.
    • Backbook pricing will improve with numerous price increases announced, but these will only start to take effect in Q2 2021.
    • Demand for broadband and ultrafast looks promising, but will also take time to filter through to revenue, with Q1 again lockdown affected.

  • February 18, 2021

    BT: A bumpy road

    • BT’s December quarter results were mixed, with revenue growth improving but EBITDA growth worsening, and next quarter will be hit by the effects of lockdown 3 on mobile, with B2B likely to be hit by business failures following the end of furlough
    • BT has maintained/nudged up its financial guidance regardless, and there are plenty of positive longer-term signs, with subscriber growth strong in the quarter, pricing pressure easing, and full fibre roll-out and adoption progressing nicely
    • Overall, we expect the road to continue to be bumpy, but a recovery by 2022/23 still seems very plausible, ultimately driven by the wholesale and retail benefits of full fibre, and perhaps helped if it can get ‘Digital’ right, a particular challenge historically for BT
  • February 15, 2021

    Telstra 1H21 update reflects industry trends

    Telstra reported earnings on 12th February 2021. In this report, we have summarised the earnings update. In our view the results are consistent with the top telco trends in 2021 that we identified earlier this year.
  • January 8, 2021

    Football rights economics: Low broadcasting competition underpins [...]

    • Beyond the short-term impact of the COVID crisis, the value of football rights in Europe is heading down
    • Lower competitive intensity in the broadcasting market is the main reason, and looks unlikely to be reversed
    • The leagues must consider long-term initiatives to broaden demand—cash fixes risk worsening their structural problems
  • December 2, 2020

    Recovery…of sorts: UK broadband, telephony and pay TV trend [...]

    • Consumer broadband, telephony and pay TV market revenue growth recovered to -2% in Q3 (from -6% in Q2), with the recovery in premium sports channel revenue being partially mitigated by a worsening in backbook pricing pressure at BT
    • This is however still weaker than pre-COVID levels, with said backbooking pricing pressure affecting all operators to some extent, and intensifying as Ofcom-mandated end-of-contract notifications are rolled out, with annual best tariff notification due over the next few months
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  • November 24, 2020

    New Zealand Consumer Broadband Behaviour Survey – Round 2

    The purpose of this survey (completed 28th October 2020) was to compare the results with the results of the similar April survey, and understand the change in consumers’ response to COVID-19 over time in a range of areas including broadband usage, work from home, video conferencing, online shopping and telehealth. The comparison with the results with our April 2020 survey provides insights on consumer behaviour pre-COVID, during COVID and now. The survey was conducted nationally across New Zealand for 1,016 respondents, all with a broadband connection, and with a representative survey sample across demographic and regional groupings. The demographics have been discussed in detail in the last section of the report.
  • November 9, 2020

    BT: Glacially improving outlook

    BT had a fairly mixed September quarter at the revenue level, with post-lockdown recovery evident in a number of areas, such as wholesale/commercial sports, Openreach installation and network build volumes, and consumer mobile net adds, but revenue weakness in mobile roaming (seasonal factors) and consumer fixed (regulator-inspired price cuts) resulted in overall group revenue growth unchanged.