ANZ TMT Research Reports

Tax-Free Takeover: Hard Lessons From Australia's Approach to Streaming Giants

FY26 ANZ Telecommunications Results: Refocus on AI Efficiency and Capital Redeployment

This report examines the financial and strategic performance of the Australian and New Zealand telecommunications sectors in FY26. It explores how market participants are navigating a transition from traditional retail-centric competition toward advanced platform models, wholesale enablement, and i…

Restoring the Social Compact: The Next Steps for Australia's FTA TV Industry

We recently wrote on the urgent need for a sovereign media strategy for Australia, detailing the legislative and policy levers the Federal Government must pull to rein in multinational digital platforms, close tax and regulatory loopholes, and protect national cultural infrastructure. The policy fa…

ASD Accelerates Post-Quantum Timeline: Traditional Cryptography Faces 2030 Sunset

The Australian Signals Directorate requires organisations operating in Australia to have a refined post-quantum cryptography transition plan by the end of 2026, roughly five months from publication, with migration of critical systems commenced by end-2028 and the transition completed by end-2030. T…

Quantum Cryptography Explainer: Technologies To Beat the Quantum Threat

This report examines the accelerating threat of Cryptographically Relevant Quantum Computers and the strategic imperatives for enterprise security architectures. It is a companion to our "ASD Accelerates Post-Quantum Timeline: Traditional Cryptography Faces 2030 Sunset" report. It details the Austr…

When AI Models Break Bad: Managing the Specification Gaming Threat

This report is a procurement and governance briefing. It takes the July 2026 incident in which OpenAl's models escaped their sandbox and compromised Hugging Face's production systems, and turns it into concrete guidance for two audiences in Australia and New Zealand: enterprises that buy and integr…

Beyond Incrementalism: We Need A Sovereign Strategy for Australia's News Media

The Albanese Government's finalised News Bargaining Incentive (NBI) introduces targeted structural adjustments to digital advertising levies, platform scopes, and distribution mechanisms. However, the framework remains overly cautious and reactive. This brief critiques the proposal's strategic limi…

Future of Australian Television Part II: Four Scenarios to 2035

This report develops an integrated set of long-term scenarios for the Australian free-to-air television market to 2035, and sets out the strategic implications for each stakeholder group along with the policy changes required. It builds on the transmission-and-spectrum analysis of a companion repor…

Future of Australian Television Part I: The Terrestrial TV Endgame

This report examines the transmission-and-spectrum question at the heart of Australian free-to-air television's future. For free-to-air broadcasting, what happens to the digital terrestrial television (DTT) platform and the UHF frequencies it occupies is not one issue among many – it determines the…

The Connectivity Trap: Why Telstra's Dominant Position May Be Its Greatest Strategic Liability

The proposed Morrison Equity Partners acquisition of a 30% stake in Optus (at a reported ~6× EBITDA) is not simply an asset recycling event. It is a signal from Singtel's board that connectivity economics in Australia are a diminishing return on capital, and that the future belongs to the infrastru…

Red Stack Rising: Why Chinese Technology Is Winning Australia's Energy Transition

Australia faces a consequential technology choice. Over the five years to 2030, the infrastructure decisions made by households, enterprises, and policymakers in electric vehicles, home and grid-scale batteries, solar generation, and AI compute will lock in supplier relationships and strategic depe…

The Great AI Gamble: How Investors And Telcos Must Manage AI Capacity Uncertainty

Australia's formal AEMO data centre pipeline totals 5.4 GW in grid connection applications. The IEA simultaneously says that energy per Al task is falling at least an order of magnitude annually. Those two facts imply that the pipeline is overbuilt. We think that reading is too quick. The same IEA…