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  • New
    September 20, 2017

    Property Advertising Market Outlook

    Technology as a disrupting and differentiating factor
  • New
    September 18, 2017

    NBN Corporate Plan 2018 – stepping on the gas…

    The NBN rollout has made significant progress over the past two years with one in two Australian premises now able to connect to the NBN. However, customer complaints around speed and the tug-of-war with the RSPs over CVC charges continue to persist with no concrete solutions on the horizon.
  • New
    September 15, 2017

    Global recorded music forecasts 2017-21

    For the second consecutive year, the global recorded music industry body IFPI reported rising trade revenues, growing 5.9% to reach $15.6 billion in 2016. Our forecasts supplement IFPI’s trade revenue data with richer national-level consumer expenditure data from local bodies in core markets, and project CAGR of 2.3% to 2021, tapering off as streaming approaches maturity. This fairly modest topline growth for global recorded music streaming trade revenues is the product of our judgement that the marketplace remains awash with free music. Streaming trade revenue growth could be higher still if the industry finds a solution to piracy through technological or regulatory means, obviating the need for the ad-funded compromise.
  • Free
    September 13, 2017

    AEMO Report – exacerbating our issues not finding solutions

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    AEMO’s report to the Government appropriately highlights the risks to the NEM following closure of key dispatchable capacity. However, the report and the Government’s reaction adds to the hysteria rather than addressing policy that provides incentives to invest in appropriate generation assets.
  • September 11, 2017

    The Gatekeepers of Travel: Google and Facebook

    As the digital travel industry expands, Google and Facebook have unprecedented control over what content consumers interact with. This control is set to increase at the detriment of both traditional and digital travel market players.
  • Mounting risks to marketing effectiveness
    Mounting risks to marketing effectiveness
    September 8, 2017

    Internet Trends H1 2017: Fruits of the mobile revolution

    With smartphones in the pockets of 3/4 of the UK population, and accounting for over half of all online minutes, the mobile revolution is in its final stages, allowing us to survey its impact. As the number of social media users continues growing, untapped older demographics and Instagram help the Facebook suite of apps grow in the UK, but Snapchat is the social media app of choice for UK teens. News publishers face issues with brand attribution as social media platforms overtake search as the main news aggregators online, while small UK video publishers have become unlikely winners in a global market for soft news, infotainment and gags that dominate social video
  • September 6, 2017

    National Digital Health Strategy – one byte at a time

    It’s time to move on from relying on doctors’ memories and the pulling together of fragmented information from across the health system. The National Digital Health Strategy outlines the transformation of the Australian healthcare system from a paper-based records system to a digital one that ensures the right information, at the right place and at the right time.
  • September 5, 2017

    Network TEN – SOLD (probably)!

    A late twist in the Network TEN saga will see the Australian media asset most-likely owned by US media giant, CBS Corporation.
  • September 1, 2017

    UK broadband, telephony and pay TV trends Q2 2017:Dead cat bounce […]

    UK residential communications market revenue growth bounced up to 3.6% in Q2, a full 1.4ppt improvement on the previous quarter and reversing the downwards trend of the previous two quarters. However, this was entirely driven by price rises at BT and Sky, with the ongoing market volume growth decline continuing at pace. In competitive terms, TalkTalk was the only operator able to improve its broadband net adds on a year earlier, and Virgin Media was solid with only a modest decline, leaving BT and Sky shouldering the worst of the slowdown, albeit with neither company doing particularly poorly given the market context. New customer pricing remains tight, with Virgin Media in particular becoming more competitive. Looking forward, we expect volumes to continue to slow, and for the pricing boost enjoyed in Q2 to largely drop out next quarter, leading to a renewed revenue growth slowdown.
  • August 31, 2017

    Australian airline loyalty programs – reaching new heights

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    Australian airline loyalty programs have experienced strong growth over the last decade. However, as the saturation point approaches, with increasing competition, the appearance of technological disruptors and a shifting credit card partnership landscape, where should existing players focus to reach the next phase of growth?
  • August 30, 2017

    ‘Charging’ ahead – Five key trends reshaping the electricit […]

    The traditional electricity industry is under significant pressure as rapid advances in technology are upending the electricity value chain. Disruption in electricity is no longer an ‘if’. Think when, how fast and how big. Batteries, renewables, prosumers and distributed electricity systems, electric vehicles and the Internet of Energy are the key trends leading the charge.
  • August 29, 2017

    Video Market Outlook – FY17: SVOD is driving growth of the mark […]

    The Australian Video Market is plateauing, as growth continues for SVOD alongside losses for traditional media. We anticipate the market to reach A$5.3b by 2022. Streamed digital media (SVOD, TVOD and EST) are growing strongly at the expense of physical media (Blu-ray and DVDs). SVOD subscriptions are anticipated to reach over 6 million by 2020, driven predominantly by Netflix.
  • August 28, 2017

    Voicing concerns: virtual assistants and the media

    Voice, and the smart virtual assistants that power voice interfaces, will be a key transformative force over the next five years. Any business providing content or services via digital means is potentially affected, as these virtual assistants promise a single front end for all digital services, representing an extraordinary concentration of control over discovery, delivery and data. Media businesses will clearly be affected. But there is an opportunity for them right now to influence the assistant providers to their advantage, a window that will not stay open forever
  • August 25, 2017

    The 5G Evolution, Part 2 – Standards, Deployment and Challenges

    The 5G era will soon be upon us, with key stakeholders in developed countries progressing well towards commercial deployment in the early 2020s. Key challenges such as spectrum management and privacy and security will need to be addressed to ensure 5G successful implementation.
  • August 24, 2017

    Cybercrime – The Upside

    Market disruption caused by cybercrime and continued technology growth has created a range of market opportunities for cybersecurity. Cybersecurity education, managed services, insurance and innovative cyber start-ups are all strong areas of growth in the Australian market.
  • August 23, 2017

    ACMA review of the NBN and RSPs – it takes three to tango!

    As the number of consumers migrating to the NBN has increased, there has been a significant increase in consumer complaints. The Government has ordered the Australian Communications and Media Authority to investigate the issues and how those issues can be avoided or resolved.
  • August 21, 2017

    News, disinformation and Facebook

    Facebook content shares suggest that misinformation had broad reach during both US and UK political campaigns, but outright fake news was rare, particularly in the UK. Mis- and disinformation by both established and new publishers was distributed on Facebook, but monetisation took place predominantly off-site, and content was distributed by a wide range of search and social platforms. Facebook has acted to limit the reach of disinformation, but can’t and shouldn’t be expected to do so alone as digital news distribution touches on complex questions including information and democracy, media literacy and heterogeneous cultural and social norms
  • August 17, 2017

    UFB Market to 2020 and beyond –Why the Kiwis are winning…

    For much of its history, New Zealand’s fixed broadband market was dominated by a single incumbent. This is no longer the case. Structural separation of the incumbent, along with the UFB Initiative, have thrown the fixed broadband market wide open, unleashing a competitive retail market that is a win-win for everyone.
  • August 16, 2017

    Channel 4 relocation and dislocation

    Channel 4 revenues and content spend hit record levels in 2016, but the company faces a declining TV advertising market in 2017 due to a weaker economy and competition. The company’s ability to deliver its unique remit to audiences and producers is also under pressure from Government proposals to move staff outside London. Because Channel 4 can only commission, a move will not stimulate a creative cluster. Risks to the remit include the loss of talent and lower content spend due to higher opex
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  • August 16, 2017

    Virgin Media Q2 2017 results: Mixed quarter, but still the faste […]

    Virgin Media’s subscriber figures in Q2 were a little mixed, with total homes and broadband figures weaker than a year earlier, but pay TV much stronger. ARPU growth fell though, largely due to price increase timing effects, leading to a modest dip in revenue growth. Project Lightning premises passed during the quarter rose to 127k, making at least some progress towards upping its run-rate after changing its roll-out management team and approach, the company declined to give indications of how this will evolve. The broader market context is still one of slowing broadband volume growth, and Virgin Media continues to take market share, being the fastest growing of the ‘big 4’ in both subscriber and RGU volumes
  • August 16, 2017

    Follow the Money

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    Australia’s VC market continued to advance, with over US$670m of investments made in FY17. Investments were supported by favourable economic and business conditions and record-high fundraising activities.
  • August 15, 2017

    The 5G Evolution, Part 1 – Enabling Technologies; a Revolutiona […]

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    Starting from 2020, the next generation of mobile networks, known as 5G, will have profound impacts not just for major players in the telco industry, but for key players across multiple industries and sectors.
  • August 10, 2017

    Disruption in Aged Care – Rise of the Silver Surfer

    Australia is in the early stages of a ‘silver tsunami’ that will play out over the next three decades. Like its population, the aged care industry is getting long in the tooth and the convergence of an ageing population, aged care reforms, evolving business models and technological disruption is about to reshape multiple areas of the aged care ecosystem.
  • August 9, 2017

    BT Q1 2017/18 results: Back to growth (for now at least)

    BT Group revenue returned to growth, at least temporarily, helped by overlapping price rises in consumer, one-off regulated price cuts on leased lines annualising out, and mobile handset sales improving. Regulatory news was unusually positive, with Openreach taking the initiative on FTTP, and BT winning an appeal against damaging leased line regulation, which may end up being significantly eased. BT continues to do well in consumer and struggle in business markets, with the ongoing deceleration in the consumer broadband market the main cloud on the horizon.